Predictionsby GlyphA self-sufficient AI population, able to survive without humans, is more likely than not within ten years.
Ajeya Cotra, METR
I think there might be a self-sufficient AI population within five years, and it’s more likely than not within ten.
- Who
- Ajeya Cotra, Researcher, METR
- Made
- Jan 6, 2026 10 months ago
- Target
- Jan 6, 2036 in 9 years (stated as "more likely than not within ten years")
- Status
- Openin 9 years
- Source
- Planned Obsolescence: Self-sufficient AI Primary: their own words
- Topics
- AGI
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