AGI, defined as passing a set of tests better than most people, will arrive within 5 years.
Jensen Huang, Nvidia · made Mar 19, 2024 · target Mar 2029 · Open
Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.
If we specified AGI to be something very specific, a set of tests where a software program can do very well [...] I believe we will get there within 5 years
The prediction
- Who
- Jensen Huang, CEO, Nvidia
- Made
- Mar 19, 2024
- Target
- Mar 19, 2029 (stated as "within 5 years")
- Status
- Openin 2 years
- Source
- TechCrunch, from a GTC press Q&A Secondary: a report of what they said
- Topics
- AGI
Related predictions
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | Making AI agents work like an employee will take about a decade.Open · Andrej Karpathy, Eureka Labs · target Oct 2035 | Oct 2035about a decade | Agents | Open |
| Apr 3, 2025 | The impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will exceed that of the Industrial Revolution.Open · Daniel Kokotajlo, AI Futures Project · target Apr 2035 | Apr 2035over the next decade | AGI | Open |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Mar 2027late 2026 or early 2027 | AGI | Open | |
| October 2024 | Powerful AI could arrive as early as 2026.Open · Dario Amodei, Anthropic · target Dec 2026 | Dec 2026as early as 2026 | AGI | Open |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Superintelligence could arrive in a few thousand days.Open · Sam Altman, OpenAI · target Dec 2032 | Dec 2032in a few thousand days (about 3,000 days, read as late 2032) | AGI | Open |
| Oct 26, 2023 | There is a 50% chance of AGI by 2028.Open · Shane Legg, DeepMind · target Dec 2028 | Dec 2028by 2028 (50% chance) | AGI | Open |
Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.