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An AI that learns as well as a human, and so becomes superhuman, will arrive in 5 to 20 years.

Ilya Sutskever, Safe Superintelligence · made November 2025 · target Nov 2045 · Open

Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.

I think like 5 to 20.
Ilya Sutskever, Ilya Sutskever: We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research (Dwarkesh Podcast transcript) (the quote as reported there)

The prediction

Who
Ilya Sutskever, Co-founder and CEO, Safe Superintelligence
Made
November 2025
Target
Nov 25, 2045 (stated as "5 to 20 years")
Status
Openin 19 years
Source
Ilya Sutskever: We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research (Dwarkesh Podcast transcript) Secondary: a report of what they said
Topics
AGI

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Links
Safe Superintelligence on Companies (companies.fru.dev)

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Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.

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