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178 predictions · 163 still open

Andrej Karpathy

A billion-parameter model will hold a very productive conversation within 20 years.

Andrej Karpathy, Eureka Labs

Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.

If you talk to a billion parameter model, I think in 20 years, you can have a very productive conversation.
Andrej Karpathy, Dwarkesh Podcast: AGI is still a decade away (the quote as reported there)
Who
Andrej Karpathy, Founder, Eureka Labs
Made
Oct 17, 2025 1 year ago
Target
Oct 17, 2045 in 18 years (stated as "in 20 years")
Status
Openin 19 years
Source
Dwarkesh Podcast: AGI is still a decade away Secondary: a report of what they said · original recording
Topics
AGI

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