If by 2028 we’ve automated software engineering and the price of compute is 15x higher than it is right now, then it’s going to be much more difficult for you, with no revenue, to compete for compute against the frontier labs.
Dwarkesh Patel · made Jul 29, 2026 · target Dec 2028 · Open
Unverified Only a secondary source was found; the original words were not read on a page.
If by 2028 we’ve automated software engineering and the price of compute is 15x higher than it is right now, then it’s going to be much more difficult for you, with no revenue, to compete for compute against the frontier labs.
The prediction
- Who
- Dwarkesh Patel, Host, Dwarkesh Podcast
- Made
- Jul 29, 2026 2 months ago
- Target
- Dec 31, 2028 in 2 years (stated as "by 2028")
- Status
- Openin 2 years
- Source
- Why compute might get 10x+ more expensive in coming years Primary: their own words · original recording
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