Who predicted what

Predictions178Still open163

178 predictions · 163 still open

By 2027 AI models will be able to do the work of an AI researcher or engineer.

Leopold Aschenbrenner, Situational Awareness LP

it is strikingly plausible that by 2027, models will be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer.
Leopold Aschenbrenner, Situational Awareness, I. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs
Who
Leopold Aschenbrenner, Founder, Situational Awareness LP
Made
June 2024 2 years ago
Target
Dec 31, 2027 in 1 year (stated as "by 2027")
Status
Openin 14 months
Source
Situational Awareness, I. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs Primary: their own words
Topics
AGI,Coding

More from Leopold Aschenbrenner

Computemade Jun 2024, due Dec 2027Total AI investment could exceed $1 trillion a year by 2027.AGImade Jun 4, 2024, due Dec 2030Superintelligence will exist by 2030.Computemade Jun 2024, due Dec 2030By the end of the decade individual AI training clusters will cost $1 trillion or more.

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Links
Situational Awareness LP on Companies (companies.fru.dev)