By 2027 AI models will be able to do the work of an AI researcher or engineer.
Leopold Aschenbrenner, Situational Awareness LP · made June 2024 · target Dec 2027 · Open
it is strikingly plausible that by 2027, models will be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer.
The prediction
- Who
- Leopold Aschenbrenner, Founder, Situational Awareness LP
- Made
- June 2024
- Target
- Dec 31, 2027 (stated as "by 2027")
- Status
- Openin 15 months
- Source
- Situational Awareness, I. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs Primary: their own words
More from Leopold Aschenbrenner
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 2024 | Total AI investment could exceed $1 trillion a year by 2027.Open · target Dec 2027 | Dec 2027by 2027 | Compute | Open |
| Jun 4, 2024 | Superintelligence will exist by 2030.Open · target Dec 2030 | Dec 2030by 2030 | AGI | Open |
| June 2024 | By the end of the decade individual AI training clusters will cost $1 trillion or more.Open · target Dec 2030 | Dec 2030by the end of the decade | Compute | Open |
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Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.