Within three to six months, AI will be writing 90 percent of the code.
Dario Amodei, Anthropic · made Mar 10, 2025 · target Sep 2025 · Due for review
we are not far from the world [...] I think we'll be there in three to six months [...] where AI is writing 90 percent of the code.
The prediction
- Who
- Dario Amodei, CEO, Anthropic
- Made
- Mar 10, 2025
- Target
- Sep 10, 2025 (stated as "three to six months")
- Status
- Due for review12 months ago
- Source
- CFR CEO Speaker Series with Dario Amodei (transcript) Primary: their own words
- Topics
- Coding
More from Dario Amodei
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2025 | AI could eliminate half of entry-level white-collar jobs and push unemployment to as much as 20% within one to five years.Open · Unverified · target May 2030 | May 2030in the next one to five years | Jobs | Open |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Within twelve months, AI may be writing essentially all of the code.Due for review · target Mar 2026 | Mar 2026in twelve months | Coding | Due for review |
| October 2024 | Powerful AI could arrive as early as 2026.Open · target Dec 2026 | Dec 2026as early as 2026 | AGI | Open |
Related predictions
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2025 | Within 12 to 18 months, most of the code for Meta's Llama efforts will be written by AI.Open · Mark Zuckerberg, Meta · target Oct 2026 | Oct 2026sometime in the next 12 to 18 months | Coding | Open |
| Jan 10, 2025 | In 2025 Meta and others will have an AI that can work like a midlevel engineer.Due for review · Unverified · Mark Zuckerberg, Meta · target Dec 2025 | Dec 2025probably in 2025 | Coding | Due for review |
Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.