Who predicted what

Predictions178Still open163

178 predictions · 163 still open

Superintelligence will exist by 2030.

Leopold Aschenbrenner, Situational Awareness LP

By 28/29 the intelligence explosion will be underway; by 2030, we will have summoned superintelligence, in all its power and might.
Leopold Aschenbrenner, Situational Awareness IV: The Project
Who
Leopold Aschenbrenner, Founder, Situational Awareness LP
Made
Jun 4, 2024 2 years ago
Target
Dec 31, 2030 in 4 years (stated as "by 2030")
Status
Openin 4 years
Source
Situational Awareness IV: The Project Primary: their own words · original recording
Topics
AGI

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Links
Situational Awareness LP on Companies (companies.fru.dev)