Dario Amodei predictions and outcomes
CEO, Anthropic
4 predictions · 2 open · 2 due · none judged yet
Dario Amodei's predictions
4 of 4 predictions, newest first
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2025 | AI could eliminate half of entry-level white-collar jobs and push unemployment to as much as 20% within one to five years.Open · Unverified · target May 2030 | May 2030in the next one to five years | Jobs | Open |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Within three to six months, AI will be writing 90 percent of the code.Due for review · target Sep 2025 | Sep 2025three to six months | Coding | Due for review |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Within twelve months, AI may be writing essentially all of the code.Due for review · target Mar 2026 | Mar 2026in twelve months | Coding | Due for review |
| October 2024 | Powerful AI could arrive as early as 2026.Open · target Dec 2026 | Dec 2026as early as 2026 | AGI | Open |
Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.