Powerful AI systems will emerge in late 2026 or early 2027.
Anthropic · made Mar 6, 2025 · target Mar 2027 · Open
we expect powerful AI systems will emerge in late 2026 or early 2027.
The prediction
- Who
- Anthropic
- Made
- Mar 6, 2025
- Target
- Mar 31, 2027 (stated as "late 2026 or early 2027")
- Status
- Openin 6 months
- Source
- Anthropic's recommendations to OSTP for the U.S. AI Action Plan Primary: their own words
- Topics
- AGI
More from Anthropic
| Prediction | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2025 | AI could eliminate half of entry-level white-collar jobs and push unemployment to as much as 20% within one to five years.Open · Unverified · target May 2030 | May 2030in the next one to five years | Jobs | Open |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Within three to six months, AI will be writing 90 percent of the code.Due for review · target Sep 2025 | Sep 2025three to six months | Coding | Due for review |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Within twelve months, AI may be writing essentially all of the code.Due for review · target Mar 2026 | Mar 2026in twelve months | Coding | Due for review |
| October 2024 | Powerful AI could arrive as early as 2026.Open · target Dec 2026 | Dec 2026as early as 2026 | AGI | Open |
Related predictions
Sources: the source linked on each prediction, checked weekly; outcomes judged on the evidence linked. Logos via logo.dev; trademarks belong to their owners.